5 min read

Is Your Agency Worth Anything Without You? Two Headlines Gave The Answer.

Is Your Agency Worth Anything Without You? Two Headlines Gave The Answer.
Is Your Agency Worth Anything Without You? Two Headlines Gave The Answer.
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Two headlines crossed my desk the same week. One was about a private equity deal. One was about AI. And they're both really asking your agency the same question: is this thing worth anything without you in it?

Here's the answer before I show you the work behind it. A buyer writing a check and a machine deciding what your work is worth are drawing the same line from opposite ends. One pays for the part of your agency that isn't you. The other erases the part that's just commodity production. If you can honestly say your agency would keep running for 90 days without you, you win on both sides. If you can't, you're exposed on both at once. And the proof isn't a feeling. It's on your P&L.

I've been a CPA for more than 23 years, and a lot of that time has been spent inside the books of marketing and advertising agencies. When you read enough P&Ls, you stop being surprised by where the money hides, and you start seeing which agencies are built to sell and which ones are quietly built around one exhausted human. Let me walk you through both headlines, and then the one number that ties them together.

Headline One: Somebody Just Bought An Agency

At the end of June, Axios reported that a private equity firm, Otro Capital, rolled another marketing operation into a platform it's building. Through its FlexWork Sports company, it acquired ProCamps and its brand-activation agency, G3 Marketing. Real clients, names you'd recognize like Kroger and Procter & Gamble.

Now, private equity doesn't buy jobs. It buys assets. So ask what they actually paid for.

They didn't pay for one founder's taste or one person's relationships. Watch what they did instead. They kept the whole staff. And they took the co-founder, Gregg Darbyshire, and moved him into a Chief Growth Officer seat. Read that again. They bought the machine, and they turned the founder into an employee of it.

That only works if the agency already ran on something bigger than the owner. Repeatable delivery. A team that keeps the clients. Revenue that doesn't walk out the door the day the founder steps back. That's what got a check written. Not the hustle. The system. (The deal terms weren't disclosed, and the price isn't the point here anyway.)

Headline Two: AI Is Deciding What Your Work Is Worth

Second headline, different direction, same lesson. There's a piece from Violetta Bonenkamp over at the Mean CEO blog, and she put it better than I could. She said AI didn't kill agency value. It exposed fake agency value.

Sit with that word. Fake.

If the thing you were selling was production, cranking out the draft, the report, the campaign setup, the ranking sheet, then the software just proved that was never really yours. Your client can get a rough version out of a chatbot at midnight, for free. In her reporting, 53% of agency owners now call AI a serious threat, up from 44%. More than half the room is nervous.

Here's what I want you to notice. The buyer and the machine are pointing at the exact same thing. The buyer pays for the part of your agency that isn't the owner and isn't a commodity. AI erases the part that is a commodity. One rewards real value. The other deletes fake value. Same line, drawn from both ends.

The One Test Both Headlines Are Running

Karl Sakas, has got one question that's the whole ballgame: could your agency run without you for 90 days?

Not "would it be stressful." Would it run. If you disappeared for a quarter, does the work keep going out the door, or does your phone light up with "we need you" the first afternoon?

That is the buyer's test. It's literally what private equity underwrites before it pays you a multiple. Can this run without the person whose name is on the door? And it's also the AI test, because the work AI can't replace is the judgment, the strategy, and the outcome, the stuff that only lives in a system and a team, not in a tool.

Same test. A buyer runs it before they buy you. A machine runs it before it replaces you. Pass it and you win both. Fail it and you're exposed on both sides at once.

Why The Tax Guy Is Talking About This

You might be wondering why the CPA is talking about selling your agency and about robots. Here's why. "Can it run without you" isn't a vibe. It's a number.

When a buyer does diligence, they're not admiring your logo. They're reading your books. They want clean financials, predictable revenue, and margin that holds. The number I care about more than any other is your gross profit: what you actually keep after the cost of delivering the work.

You've heard me drum on this. The agencies that flourish hold people costs at or under 55% of adjusted gross income, overhead under 25%, and profit at 20% or better. Fifty-five, twenty-five, twenty. People, overhead, profit.

That ratio is the same thing from both angles again. A buyer pays a higher multiple for an agency that holds that line, because disciplined margin is transferable. And AI, used right, should push your people-cost ratio down, which widens that margin. But only if you hold your price instead of handing the savings to the client. So the sellable agency and the AI-proof agency turn out to be the same agency: systematized delivery, a team that owns the outcomes, and numbers clean enough that a stranger could read them and trust them.

The Trap: Confusing Busy With Valuable

Here's the trap I see, and I've watched it for more than 23 years. Owners confuse busy with valuable.

You're booked solid. You're in every client meeting. Every big decision runs through you. It feels like success. It feels like you're essential.

You are essential. That's the problem.

If every outcome depends on you personally, you haven't built an asset. You've built a very demanding job you can't sell and can't step away from. A buyer looks at that and sees risk, not value. And AI looks at the commodity tasks underneath it and starts chipping them away.

Most accountants will never flag this for you. They look in the rearview mirror and tell you what happened last year. "Your agency isn't sellable, and your best work is getting commoditized" doesn't show up as a line on a tax return. It's invisible to a historian. But when you've worked with a lot of agencies over a lot of years, you see the pattern coming down the road through the windshield.

The Fix: Build The One Agency That Wins Both Ways

Here's the fix, and it's the same move whether you ever want to sell or not. Build the agency that runs without you. Then let the machine handle the production, and you sell the judgment.

Three things, and they're all measurable:

  • Systematize delivery so outcomes don't live in your head. That's what a buyer pays for, and it's what AI can't copy.
  • Watch your gross profit and hold that 55/25/20 line, so the efficiency AI creates lands in your margin instead of your client's budget.
  • Keep your books clean enough that a stranger could trust them tomorrow, because "diligence-ready" and "well-run" are the same books.

Do that, and here's what you get. An agency the machine can't commoditize, because you're selling thinking, not production. And an agency a buyer would actually write a check for, because it runs without you. Bonenkamp called the survivors "compact intelligence units," lean teams selling judgment, not volume. I'd just add the financial half of that sentence. The survivors are the ones whose numbers prove it. Cheap production is everywhere now. Real commercial thinking, backed by clean books, is not.

Who This Is For, And Who It Isn't

This isn't for the owner who's happy being the agency, who wants every decision to run through them and has no intention of ever stepping back. If being the bottleneck feels like the job, none of this will land, and that's okay.

It's for the owner who wants options: to step into a chair role someday, to be valuable to an acquirer, or just to run an agency that doesn't fall over when they leave for two weeks. If that's you, then every operating decision is really an enterprise-value decision, and it deserves to be made with the numbers in front of you.

What I Do With Agency Owners

Here's the work I actually do, and it isn't glamorous. We sit down with your real numbers and figure out whether they tell a "sellable" story. We look at where your senior peoples time is really going. We pressure-test that 55/25/20. And we get honest about which parts of your agency are transferable value and which parts are just you, working harder.

Because the goal is always the same. Keep more of what you make, and build something worth keeping.


Related reading: Before You Add That Service, Ask One Question: Can You Run It Without You?, Is AI Cutting Your Agency's Margins? Then Fix The Pricing Model., and The Tax Break Hiding Inside Your Agency's Software.

 

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